Reilly wrote:The odds of the last place team, in this case Pittsburgh, winning the lottery are 25 per cent.
The next team, say St. Louis, would have an 18.8 per cent chance, followed by Chicago at 14.2 per cent, Washington at 10.7 per cent and Columbus at 8.1 per cent.
Now, there is a 75 per cent chance some team other than Pittsburgh wins the lottery, but it's about 50-50 whether the team that wins it is in the bottom five and, therefore, able to knock Pittsburgh from the No. 1 spot.
DelPen wrote:When you do all the math the odds are around 49% that the last place team retains the last pick.
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