by Samsdog on Tue Aug 26, 2008 1:56 pm
I don't see the Penguins not making the playoffs this year. Casting off the obvious Eastern Conference flukes-Florida and Toronto-there still isn't a ton of reason to think that the Pens couldn't win a playoff spot.
New Jersey always makes the playoffs because of Brodeur. However, they're a defense first team without a great defense. Little reason to suspect that they'll win the division, but they eat a playoff spot.
Saths just did what the Rangers have always done, give big contracts to old names on the downswing of their careers, this time Naslund and Redden. Yes, Naslund will be better this year because he's playing on a team not composed of two gifted twins and a collection of warm bodies, but he still isn't going to earn his contract. Redden might end up doing a little better but he not only doesn't produce the same, he just doesn't look the same as he used to. This team didn't improve substantially, so unless their signings have huge rebound years or Lundqvist becomes a wall the like of which this league has rarely seen then I don't think the Rags will be substantially better than the Pens. They'll still hit the top 4.
Islanders/Atlanta/Toronto suck as always.
Tampa Bay looks better but without an elite sniper blueliner to bank shots off Malone's stick he'll drop off this year, and other than that they didn't add anyone of impact. Smith doesn't have much defense to make him better, and he doesn't has a ton of experience to keep him chill. This team is probably still a ticking time bomb, and not the good kind.
Buffalo is a fringe team, time will tell what they'll do but they aren't beating the Pens.
The Flyers might have Gagne back but given his two concussions and the fact that he was rushed back I doubt that he'll ever be the same Gagne again. Umberger was really only a big difference maker against the Pens so losing him isn't devastating, and they still have a decent core of forwards. Defense is not very good, I wouldn't trust it if I were in charge of the team. Biron is streaky at best, and Tittymakki will be warming the bench for years to come. If Briere, Carter, and Richards can carry the team the way they have the potential to do the Flyers might challenge the Pens, but aren't clearly better.
Habs are a wildcard, they'll certainly be in the top 4 though. If Price doesn't choke and Tanguay returns to form they win the East.
Caps will win the Southeast and probably be the only team from that division to make it into the playoffs, the 'Canes look a little worse for wear every year and with Cam Ward in net theres no reason to believe that they'll appear as any sort of threat.
Ottawa is a train wreck and hasn't improved much. One line team with crappy goaltending and no defense if Meszaros doesn't sign, Phillips can't do it all himself.
The point is the East looks pretty weak, I don't see the Pens not claiming a playoff berth. Not to say I expect a conference or even a division title (it's a distinct possibility but by no means a certainty), but there aren't a ton of strong teams vying for playoff spots.