DelPen wrote:Beyond the 13-4 with and 2-4 without, the GAA and goals per game in those games are the following:
13 wins, 4.46 GF, 2.15 GA
4 losses, 1.25 GF, 3.75 GA
2 wins, 3.00 GF, 2.00 GA
4 losses, 3.00 GF, 5.00 GA
Total in = 3.71 GF/2.53 GA, out =3.52GF/2.91 GAA
What does all this mean? Despres is not majorly impacting anything but the wins column, when we plays we win 76% of the time, when he doesn't that drops to 33%. Leads me to believe the team plays a system better or it's keeping a lesser player off the ice.
I have no real dog in the fight, but I'll throw something out while we're playing around with numbers...
Our goalies cumulative save pct. while Despres is on the ice this season is .939, the most among all d-men. And our shooting percentage while he's on the ice is 10.71, the leader (Bortuzzo...lol) is at 11.48%, not far away. That combined number is 1046.1, according to the stat guys, that number typically regresses to around 1000 in the long run.
Example - current d-men that played in 2010-11 & 2011-12 combined on-ice save pct. and shooting percentage per season
Letang - 1014
Orpik - 1011.5
Engelland - 1003
Niskanen - 1002
Martin - 985.5
Despres' numbers are probably unsustainably high. That 1046.1 number is 16th among all NHL d-men with 10 games played or more. For perspective, in 2011-12, the NHL leader among d-men in that number (playing at least half the season) was Adam McQuaid at 1044, followed by Andreas Lilja and Andrew Alberts at 1035. All three were third pairing d-men. So, I would assume, faced weak competition and therefore their forwards were more likely to score and their goalie was more likely to save while they were out there.
Boy...a rare stat-based post from Mikey...I'm going to take a shower now...