Jim wrote:Puljujarvi is absolutely horrible return for Murray, even with the Johnson dump.
thehockeyguru wrote:Jim wrote:Puljujarvi is absolutely horrible return for Murray, even with the Johnson dump.
It is a terrible return but its likely all the team will get especially if they insist on moving JJ.
I'll be surprised if they don't include JJ in a Murray deal and ill be shocked if they get a top 6 forward or top 4 defenseman in return.
If GMJR is insistent on moving a contract with Murray i think there is more benefit in moving Hornqvist.
Maestro wrote:Here's how GM Maestro would blow it up:
Head Coach - Sullivan fired (he'll get a job so the contract won't be a huge deal)
Replaced by - Gerard Gallant
Sumer/Fall Trades:
Matt Murray + Jack Johnson ------ Jesse Puljujärvi
Riikola + McCann ----- Max Domi (Domi RFA – 4 years, 18 mil)
Hornqvist ---- Connor Murphy (save about 3 mil)
Not resigned: Sheary, Schultz, Marleau, Simon
Lines:
Zucker – Crosby - Puljujärvi
Guentzel – Malkin – Rust
Poulin - Domi – Tanev
Lafferty – Blueger – Angello
Extras – ZAR. E-Rod
D
Dumo – Letang
Pettersson – Marino
POJ --- Murphy
Extras - RUHWEDEL
(Note: if LD were to go down during season, Niclas Almari or Czuczman could get call up)
G – Jarry - DeSmith
Wyopen wrote:Murray has arbitration rights, correct? Let him go to arbitration see what he gets, if not reasonable don’t match, get a few draft choices from the team that does signs him. Does this make any sense?
FLPensFan wrote:Wyopen wrote:Murray has arbitration rights, correct? Let him go to arbitration see what he gets, if not reasonable don’t match, get a few draft choices from the team that does signs him. Does this make any sense?
No, not really, and I'll explain why. First, arbitration has set limits of what you can and cannot walk away from, and in this case, Murray is all but guaranteed to make over the amount that cannot be walked away from. It is usually somewhere in the 3-4M range. So, if Murray is awarded more than 4M in arbitration, as an example, the team has to accept that amount. They cannot walk away. They MUST sign him for that amount. Now, they could trade him, and the acquiring team would have to sign him for that amount, but, that's a dangerous risk. He gets a high reward, you are going to really limit what might be an already weak return for Murray. Teams may just look at the UFA market instead. Then the Penguins are left holding the bag on a player they can't pay and can't move. This is why you may see 20 players each year file for arbitration, but you're lucky if 5 even make it to the arbitration hearing. Teams would much rather settle without arbitration and have a known value, rather than a value that the arbitrator sets. Sometimes it can work in their favor and player gets a lot less than they expected. Even then, some make it to the hearing, and settle with the team before the 24-48 hours it takes the arbitrator to announce his ruling/salary.
2nd, I'm 99% sure on this but, you can't get draft picks back when an arbitration has been awarded. Teams have to submit offer sheets, meaning they are offering a specific AAV and term to the player, and if that player accepts, then the former team gets the compensation based on the AAV. With an arbitration award, an arbitrator sets that amount, taking the offer sheet element out of the picture.
This is why I think something like Murray for Montour makes sense. Both players are RFAs with arbitration rights. Both teams are getting a position they need (although Montour on the 3rd pairing is a bit overkill; makes more sense if Letang was moved and Marino took #1 spot) and both teams are assuming risks
thehockeyguru wrote:Jim wrote:Puljujarvi is absolutely horrible return for Murray, even with the Johnson dump.
It is a terrible return but its likely all the team will get especially if they insist on moving JJ.
I'll be surprised if they don't include JJ in a Murray deal and ill be shocked if they get a top 6 forward or top 4 defenseman in return.
If GMJR is insistent on moving a contract with Murray i think there is more benefit in moving Hornqvist.
Hatrick wrote:thehockeyguru wrote:Jim wrote:Puljujarvi is absolutely horrible return for Murray, even with the Johnson dump.
It is a terrible return but its likely all the team will get especially if they insist on moving JJ.
I'll be surprised if they don't include JJ in a Murray deal and ill be shocked if they get a top 6 forward or top 4 defenseman in return.
If GMJR is insistent on moving a contract with Murray i think there is more benefit in moving Hornqvist.
the capitals dumped Orpik(whos contract was WORSE than Johnsons), while moving Grubauer and still got a 2nd round pick. I would say Murray still has at least the value of Grubauer(although his contract demands and the flat cap limit his return a bit, he still has a MUCH better track record than Grubauer did). I would rather trade Murray+Johnson for a couple picks than for Puljujarvi.
thehockeyguru wrote:Murray for Montour has always made the most sense to me.
Then it comes down to how they can unload McCann and Bjugstad and for what. Based on what they get back and the remaining holes i think moving Letang could come into play but again unlikely.
FLPensFan wrote:thehockeyguru wrote:Murray for Montour has always made the most sense to me.
Then it comes down to how they can unload McCann and Bjugstad and for what. Based on what they get back and the remaining holes i think moving Letang could come into play but again unlikely.
Yep, been saying that for awhile.
Buffalo in need of a goalie....check. (Unless you believe the Buffalo fans that literally think Ulmark is better than Murray because Ulmark's #'s were better this year :roll: )
Buffalo with a glut of RD.....check. Ristolainen, Montour, Miller, and Jokiharju. They also have William Borgen waiting for a spot to open up on RD. John Vogl of the Athletic, who covers the Sabres says he is expendable because Buffalo has tons of RD depth, they may not want to risk him going to arbitration, and he didn't perform for them.
Penguins like Montour....check. Now this was before John Marino came on the scene, but, there were multiple reports that Rutherford made attempts to get Montour from Anaheim.
So, two guys likely to be traded, both RFAs with arbitration rights. It just makes SOOOOO much sense to me. I don't see them being a taker for JJ though. They are short on LD and ultimately, according to Vogl, would like McCabe to slide down to be their 3rd pairing LD (feel he is a bit weak for 2nd pairing). JJ wouldn't help them there. I think they'll look elsewhere for LD help.
If Letang is kept, I'd see Montour on the fact that this team has a lot of injuries, so he won't be stuck playing 3rd pairing forever. I'd also sell him on Letang moving on in 2 seasons, and he will definitely move up the lineup at that time. Montour probably looking at 4-4.5M on a 4-5 year deal. I haven't looked at his defensive numbers yet, but, he's known more for offense. His numbers really weren't down too much on the offensive side. His usually a 30-35 point d-man with 6-9 goals, .37/pt per game player. He had only 5 goals and 18 points last season....but missed a bunch of games at start of season with a hand injury. .33pt/game last season.
With Domi, it really depends on if the Canadians are down on him or not. Maybe he tells them as an RFA he really wants to play in Pittsburgh and forces their hand. Maybe some reports of them being unhappy with him are overblown....but, if he is going to be moved, I'm sure someone can offer better than the Penguins....unless we include a Hallander or Legare. I would do McCann, Riikola, and Legare for Domi and a 3rd/4th.
Maestro wrote:Here's how GM Maestro would blow it up:
Head Coach - Sullivan fired (he'll get a job so the contract won't be a huge deal)
Replaced by - Gerard Gallant
Sumer/Fall Trades:
Matt Murray + Jack Johnson ------ Jesse Puljujärvi
Riikola + McCann ----- Max Domi (Domi RFA – 4 years, 18 mil)
Hornqvist ---- Connor Murphy (save about 3 mil)
Not resigned: Sheary, Schultz, Marleau, Simon
Lines:
Zucker – Crosby - Puljujärvi
Guentzel – Malkin – Rust
Poulin - Domi – Tanev
Lafferty – Blueger – Angello
Extras – ZAR. E-Rod
D
Dumo – Letang
Pettersson – Marino
POJ --- Murphy
Extras - RUHWEDEL
(Note: if LD were to go down during season, Niclas Almari or Czuczman could get call up)
G – Jarry - DeSmith
thehockeyguru wrote:Hatrick wrote:thehockeyguru wrote:Jim wrote:Puljujarvi is absolutely horrible return for Murray, even with the Johnson dump.
It is a terrible return but its likely all the team will get especially if they insist on moving JJ.
I'll be surprised if they don't include JJ in a Murray deal and ill be shocked if they get a top 6 forward or top 4 defenseman in return.
If GMJR is insistent on moving a contract with Murray i think there is more benefit in moving Hornqvist.
the capitals dumped Orpik(whos contract was WORSE than Johnsons), while moving Grubauer and still got a 2nd round pick. I would say Murray still has at least the value of Grubauer(although his contract demands and the flat cap limit his return a bit, he still has a MUCH better track record than Grubauer did). I would rather trade Murray+Johnson for a couple picks than for Puljujarvi.
Orpik had one year left on his contract, JJ has 3 years left so its not apples to apples.
Hatrick wrote:thehockeyguru wrote:Hatrick wrote:thehockeyguru wrote:Jim wrote:Puljujarvi is absolutely horrible return for Murray, even with the Johnson dump.
It is a terrible return but its likely all the team will get especially if they insist on moving JJ.
I'll be surprised if they don't include JJ in a Murray deal and ill be shocked if they get a top 6 forward or top 4 defenseman in return.
If GMJR is insistent on moving a contract with Murray i think there is more benefit in moving Hornqvist.
the capitals dumped Orpik(whos contract was WORSE than Johnsons), while moving Grubauer and still got a 2nd round pick. I would say Murray still has at least the value of Grubauer(although his contract demands and the flat cap limit his return a bit, he still has a MUCH better track record than Grubauer did). I would rather trade Murray+Johnson for a couple picks than for Puljujarvi.
Orpik had one year left on his contract, JJ has 3 years left so its not apples to apples.
right so its not exactly the same, one was more years but less AAV(which is what matters more to the cap, although Colorado bought him out anyway). So its not 100% the same, but I would still say the Orpik contract is worse as a whole. Even if somebody thinks they are equally bad, Murray is still more proven than Grubauer, and I would rather have a couple seconds than have Pool party.
FLPensFan wrote:Maestro wrote:Here's how GM Maestro would blow it up:
Head Coach - Sullivan fired (he'll get a job so the contract won't be a huge deal)
Replaced by - Gerard Gallant
Sumer/Fall Trades:
Matt Murray + Jack Johnson ------ Jesse Puljujärvi
Riikola + McCann ----- Max Domi (Domi RFA – 4 years, 18 mil)
Hornqvist ---- Connor Murphy (save about 3 mil)
Not resigned: Sheary, Schultz, Marleau, Simon
Lines:
Zucker – Crosby - Puljujärvi
Guentzel – Malkin – Rust
Poulin - Domi – Tanev
Lafferty – Blueger – Angello
Extras – ZAR. E-Rod
D
Dumo – Letang
Pettersson – Marino
POJ --- Murphy
Extras - RUHWEDEL
(Note: if LD were to go down during season, Niclas Almari or Czuczman could get call up)
G – Jarry - DeSmith
I don't hate it, but, there's no way the Penguins are firing Sullivan. They would have done it already, and in fact, I'm pretty sure there have been statements already that he will return for next season. But, point noted, I think we are all close to that point on Sullivan.
I don't hate the deals you made. I think you MIGHT have to kick in something extra on Domi and Murphy. Really tough to judge. Might only be a mid round pick or a Bellerive/Bjorkqvist type prospect, but I think there is some good perceived value on those guys.
I wouldn't be mad at those deals.
Jim wrote:Puljujarvi is absolutely horrible return for Murray, even with the Johnson dump.
Maestro wrote:Jim wrote:Puljujarvi is absolutely horrible return for Murray, even with the Johnson dump.
I disagree.
Maestro wrote:Everyone acts like Puljujärvi is some bum. The player is 22 years old. Players do develop and improve.
And isn't one of Crosby's tricks making average (at best) players look like they can be a 1st liner (see Simon, Dominik)
https://oilersnation.com/2020/04/20/jes ... in-europe/
https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/jes ... ght-track/
Maestro wrote:Everyone acts like Puljujärvi is some bum. The player is 22 years old. Players do develop and improve.
And isn't one of Crosby's tricks making average (at best) players look like they can be a 1st liner (see Simon, Dominik)
https://oilersnation.com/2020/04/20/jes ... in-europe/
https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/jes ... ght-track/