Jim wrote:FLPensFan wrote:Jim wrote:KG wrote:Guerin is looking to make a splash and has said big changes are coming. He already went after Jarry in the Zucker trade.
I can definitely see him going hard after Murray. Looking at their roster, they have some nice younger pieces. Centers, Kunin, Eriksson Ek, Donato. D they have Dumba, Brodin.
Wouldn't be surprised at all to see JR and BG hook up on another deal. Obviously the JJ for Rask will be part of any deal

JJ for Rask is not favorable for the Pens
Yes, it is favorable for the Penguins.
Johnson has 3 years remaining, with a total cap hit of 9.75M over 3 years, and a total salary payout of 8.25M over those 3 years.
Rask has 2 years remaining, with a total cap hit of 8M, and a total salary payout of 8M over 2 years.
Favorable for the Penguins because:
1. They get 3.25M in cap space off the books by moving Johnson.
2. They pay 250K less in total salary.
3. Rask has not been a good player, but he is not "Johnson level" bad.
The only real negative is 750K in cap space over the next two years, and, you could have Minnesota retain 10% to even out the cap hits.
JJ for Rask is not favorable for the Pens
I saw some merit at one point, but I'm going to land on Jim's side here. Where would Rask fit in the lineup at this stage? Sure, you can play around with the $$$ a little. The extra year is inconsequential. By the time the contract expires, they're past the artificial 2 year window. If JJ were still to be here, a buyout of that final year will cost $1.75 and $.75 over two seasons.
The trade is just a shuffling of bad contracts, and people would complain about the Rask contract after the relief of moving JJ wears off.
You're correct, they get JJ's cap hit off the books, but they've replaced it with another problem contract. It's like a treadmill.
IMO, beyond '21-'22 isn't all that consequential right now. Things will change dramatically then. I hate the idea, but the proper play would be to send JJ to the minors. He'll cost you $2.175 against the cap. So that's the cost. If you take Rask back, you may be forced to send him to the minors. He'll cost $2.925 to bury. Which is why you don't move JJ at all cost. Whatever comes back has to have more worth than that $2.175 cap hit. It can complicate your life, but it's not a Seabrook or Turris deal. Or Karl Alzner. Trading JJ, besides his play, is all about the cap space. If you don't trade and demote JJ to WBS, and you choose to keep POJ, the relative cap hit for POJ is $3.038333. His salary of $.863333 + JJ's buried amount of $2.175M. It makes more sense to do that rather than bring a Rask aboard. So no new bad deal. POJ's cap hit is good for the next two seasons. It doesn't really change the cap structure.
I think that's the smarter play unless you can move JJ without taking a bad contract back. Even then, you have to weigh the value of the return. If the sweetener is draconian, simply demote him. If I've got to trade JJ and a 3rd for a 7th, is that worth $2.175M in cap space? If POJ is ready, it may not eliminate the JJ problem, but it can at least calm it down a bit.
The other issue is that Guerin is not the one who offered that deal. It was his since fired predecessor. For all we know, Guerin was the one pushing for Rask as the bad contract in return. The point is that deal was structured by a guy who no longer has a job.