Factorial wrote:My point was enough of the GOP was so upset about him backing out of his no new taxes pledge that they went with Perot and handed Bubba the election. And to this day, the absolute refusal to raise taxes by the GOP stems from this.
I think that's more confirmation bias than an accurate reflection of voter's motives in 1992. Conservatives hate taxes, Bush broke a promise to not raise taxes, Bush lost, ergo Bush raising taxes cost him the election.
Was the Bush tax thing an issue? Certainly. But I wouldn't characterize it as the crystallizing factor. The tax reversal ranked no higher than third among a laundry list of influences
when Clinton and Perot supporters responded to exit polls on the day. (#1 influence: the candidate's economic proposals) Interestingly, taxes also only ranked third among Bush voters (like me). And then there's the fact that Perot's economic plan called for raising taxes on the wealthy and the gas tax. So there's a bit of a disconnect there as well.