shmenguin wrote: Pitts wrote:
Mr. Colby wrote:Great deal for both sides. Hartnell is a force.
I agree with steelhammer -- he will never have the numbers he had last year again. In fact, I will predict his numbers go down each year for the next 6. He is not the type of player you give a 6 year deal to at the age of 30.
hartnell's game should stay pretty steady as he ages. athleticism isn't exactly the foundation of why he's successful.
this deal is fine for the flyers - not great. not bad. there's no need to bring the CBA stuff into the discussion here.
What would you describe as "steady"? He has 11 seasons in the league and his career stats, projected to 82 games/year, are 21.6 goals and 46.1 points. Aside from this season, he only has 1 other season where he scored more than 49 points and/or 25 goals (his 30/30 season of 08-09). His career shooting pct is 11.3%, but he hit 15.9% this last season. Which one is more likely?
Basically, they signed him to a contract at a value equal to his career best season that he produced at 29 years old. His career numbers suggest that he is more likely to produce at a lower rate, doubtful that he could equal his peak output of his last season and very unlikely to go beyond that.
Add to that, he cites his training/fitness as one of the reason why he had his best season. Once that goes, he goes.