Somebody posted this question on another board.
Had Jagr not went to Russia for 3 seasons and didn't lose 1.5 seasons to the lockout, would he be sitting at 800 goals right now? Possibly near 2000 points? I'm thinking yes.
His current stats: 1346GP-665G-988A-1653P
Jagr was scoring at a .66 GPG during the 94-95 lockout, which would have put him at 54.12 goals for the season, or an additional 22 goals. Not out of the question to think he could have averaged 30 goals a season (estimating between 27-33) between 2008-11 along with possibly averaging a 35 goal season, had they played in 2004-05.
30+30+30+35+22+665 = 812 goals
2000 pts - 812 goals = 1188 assists needed. Jagr already has 988.
Jagr's 94-95 season of 38 assists in 48 games projected to 64.91 assists, or for the sake of rounding, 65 assists.
He would then need 173 assists in 4 seasons, or about 43.25 each season. Although his assist totals dropped while in DC, he went from totals in the low 40s to the upper 60s with the Rangers.
I don't think he'd be at 2000 points if he stayed in the NHL, but he'd be very, very close.