Moderators: Three Stars, dagny, pfim, netwolf




BurghersAndDogsSports wrote:Vegas odds are strictly based on evening out the bets across the board. Can't read anything into it of course.
Interesting I guess but is what it is. kinda shocked to see us first round exit with no marked improvements as top odds I guess.

DocEmrick wrote:Lol, the team that made costly errors in an early first round exit getting embarrassed by the Flyers...then lost Jordan Staal and added little to boost their offense while keeping the dreadful Paul Martin?
Yeah, cup champs right there this year. If they let us play Vokoun and Fleury at the same time.

Bioshock wrote:BurghersAndDogsSports wrote:Vegas odds are strictly based on evening out the bets across the board. Can't read anything into it of course.
Interesting I guess but is what it is. kinda shocked to see us first round exit with no marked improvements as top odds I guess.
I guess the consensus is that Crosby is finally healthy and the Flyers were just the absolute worst matchup possible.





knives of ice wrote:the notion that vegas odds are based to try to even bets out across the board is false. vegas always takes a position, it almost never ever happens that the bets are even across the board on both sides. there are weeks in the nfl that regardless of what the number is over 70% of the bets taken are on one team - like the packers game yesterday. the odds and lines move not by the amount of money on one side orrrr the other in most cases, but because of sharp money.
the pens were favorites in the first odds released and those were avaialble as soon as the kings raised the cup and have been available even through the lockout you've always been able to bet on it. in many books after the rangers got nash their odds improved to equal of the pens.
The pointspread is not the handicapper’s predicted margin-of-victory, but it is in fact the handicapper’s prediction of what number will be required to split the wagering evenly on both teams. Understanding that little tid-bit is the first step towards taking advantage of the numbers.


BurghersAndDogsSports wrote:Vegas odds are strictly based on evening out the bets across the board. Can't read anything into it of course.
Interesting I guess but is what it is. kinda shocked to see us first round exit with no marked improvements as top odds I guess.

DesertPenguin wrote:If the pens played the upcoming season 8 times, do you think they would win the cup once? With Sid, Geno and Letang, I think at least one out of 8 times we would get hot and win it.
To put it another way, what team would you rank above the Pens? LA got hot at the right time, but struggled all season and barely got in. New Jersey lost ground in the off season. Phoenix doesn't have the pieces to go all the way. The Rangers added Nash without losing much, so maybe them, but they still don't have Malkin or Crosby. The Pens may not be the best team, but they have the highest ceiling with those guys on the roster.








Sarcastic wrote:Well, of course they are the favorites. They have the best player in the world and also that other guy, Crosby or something.

