I would think both Rakell and Smith would have decent trade value, with most of the league surmising that they had down years because they played for a stale team and their stats were a function of the team effort. The league is full of players who had their careers resurrected after being traded.thehockeyguru wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2024 4:14 pmPeople were saying the same about Rust at the end of last season. Sometimes guys have down years.
Random Penguins Fodder
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
https://pittsburghhockeynow.com/kyle-du ... s-changes/
Summary of Mark Madden’s interview with Kyle Dubas.
Summary of Mark Madden’s interview with Kyle Dubas.
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Welp, there goes that narrative.“I think we’ll get through the season and evaluate all of that. You’re talking about super competitive people, Sully and myself. If we sit here on April 17 and we haven’t advantage of the opportunity that lies ahead of us over the window of the next 21 days or three weeks, the players and Sully are too intelligent to think that we can do the same thing again next year in the exact same way can get a different result.”
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
If anyone wants to listen:Three Stars wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2024 6:26 pm https://pittsburghhockeynow.com/kyle-du ... s-changes/
Summary of Mark Madden’s interview with Kyle Dubas.
https://www.iheart.com/podcast/1020-mar ... 162604320/
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
The amount of money left on Rakell's deal is the main reason I think they would have trouble moving him. Smith with one more season can probably get moved pretty easily before/at the draft. Neither player is going to bring back a huge return.Southern Fan wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2024 5:42 pmI would think both Rakell and Smith would have decent trade value, with most of the league surmising that they had down years because they played for a stale team and their stats were a function of the team effort. The league is full of players who had their careers resurrected after being traded.thehockeyguru wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2024 4:14 pmPeople were saying the same about Rust at the end of last season. Sometimes guys have down years.
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In any trade, whether it be Rakell or Smith...I don't think it would be just that player moving out. This where I think you see Dubas flip a younger asset like Ponomarev, Koivunen, or even a Yager/Pickering in the right deal.pens_CT wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2024 9:54 pmThe amount of money left on Rakell's deal is the main reason I think they would have trouble moving him. Smith with one more season can probably get moved pretty easily before/at the draft. Neither player is going to bring back a huge return.Southern Fan wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2024 5:42 pmI would think both Rakell and Smith would have decent trade value, with most of the league surmising that they had down years because they played for a stale team and their stats were a function of the team effort. The league is full of players who had their careers resurrected after being traded.thehockeyguru wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2024 4:14 pmPeople were saying the same about Rust at the end of last season. Sometimes guys have down years.
Maybe you send Smith or Rakell, plus someone like Ponomarev to Ottawa for Shane Pinto.
Maybe you go back to Carolina with Smith (50% retained), POJ, and Poulin for Necas. Carolina has Necas, Jarvis, and Drury as RFAs, Teravainen and Guentzel as UFAs, and Skjei and Pesce on defense as UFAs with only 13 players committed and 30M in cap space.
There's a deal out there to be made. Dubas just has to find the right deal, and make it.
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I dont want to lose Koivunen or Yager or Pickering in any deal! Especially Koivunen is playing great as 20yrs old in Elite Finnish league..
We have plenty enough of OLD players to deal to get better..
We have plenty enough of OLD players to deal to get better..
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Agreed. Unless guys like Yager, Pickering, Koivunen etc are a confirmed bust, no trading. They're young, have some potential and can improve. We have enough players that lack two or three of those.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
Exactly.. way to soon to trade them, as you mentioned we can gain a lot with them via salary cap issues as well! Not just getting younger and faster..Puck-Lurker wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 6:59 amAgreed. Unless guys like Yager, Pickering, Koivunen etc are a confirmed bust, no trading. They're young, have some potential and can improve. We have enough players that lack two or three of those.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
I understand what you are saying, but you may end up disappointed. I don't think Yager or Pickering would go unless we are getting a top 6 level young player under 25 years old. I wouldn't give up either for Shane Pinto.Pens4Life wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:09 amExactly.. way to soon to trade them, as you mentioned we can gain a lot with them via salary cap issues as well! Not just getting younger and faster..Puck-Lurker wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 6:59 amAgreed. Unless guys like Yager, Pickering, Koivunen etc are a confirmed bust, no trading. They're young, have some potential and can improve. We have enough players that lack two or three of those.
But, you also need to understand...that's the way the business side works. If you can swap a prospect who has yet to even reach the pro level (AHL) for a young prospect who is a few years ahead, and already played meaningful NHL, most teams are going to make that deal unless they have an ungodly amount of proof that your prospect is "can't miss."
Want an example...Penguins had a player whose pre-draft year, draft year, and post-draft year totals was 168 games played, 77 goals, 198 points. This was in the QMJHL.
Yager's pre-draft year, draft year, and post-draft year (in progress) is 187 games played, 97 goals, 232 points. This is in the WHL.
The first player I listed is Sam Poulin. Poulin is still young, but, while once pegged as a middle 6 player, he's probably more now considered a bottom 6 player if he reaches his potential.
You just DO NOT KNOW how these kids will develop. They can tear up Juniors, but when they get to the pro game and you are going up against a team full of guys that are on your level, and guys that are 5-10 years older/stronger, things change. That's why a lot of people like drafting European players...they go and play in the SHL and Liiga, where they are 18 year olds competing against men. The ice surface adjustment can be an issue, but you know these guys are already competing against the more experienced players versus the CHL.
I like Yager. I really like his progress to date. But right now, until we see what he can do at WBS, he's a prospect that I don't have a lot of attachment to. He's not an Elite level player that we would build the next team around. He may be a good top 6 player. He may be an All-star type player. But we just don't know.
In the right trade, ie not a 23 year old 4th line plugger, I have no problem with Dubas moving Yager or Pickering.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
Trying to retool for a run next year is what will get this organization into long(er) term trouble....We all know it's coming ![Popcorn :pop:](./images/smilies/popcorn.gif)
![Popcorn :pop:](./images/smilies/popcorn.gif)
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
I think the trade Yager for someone a couple of years older discussion was more relevant 2-3 years ago than today (like Poulin for Crouse as an example). Right now Yager will just be hitting his prime when the team starts to transition to the next generation of Penguins hockey and I'd rather see a 22 year old Yager than a 26 year old other player. You might be able to build around Yager and Pickering post Crosby and both will just be entering their career at that point. They might not work out, but someone a few years older from another team might not work out either.FLPensFan wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 10:21 amI understand what you are saying, but you may end up disappointed. I don't think Yager or Pickering would go unless we are getting a top 6 level young player under 25 years old. I wouldn't give up either for Shane Pinto.Pens4Life wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:09 amExactly.. way to soon to trade them, as you mentioned we can gain a lot with them via salary cap issues as well! Not just getting younger and faster..Puck-Lurker wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 6:59 amAgreed. Unless guys like Yager, Pickering, Koivunen etc are a confirmed bust, no trading. They're young, have some potential and can improve. We have enough players that lack two or three of those.
But, you also need to understand...that's the way the business side works. If you can swap a prospect who has yet to even reach the pro level (AHL) for a young prospect who is a few years ahead, and already played meaningful NHL, most teams are going to make that deal unless they have an ungodly amount of proof that your prospect is "can't miss."
Want an example...Penguins had a player whose pre-draft year, draft year, and post-draft year totals was 168 games played, 77 goals, 198 points. This was in the QMJHL.
Yager's pre-draft year, draft year, and post-draft year (in progress) is 187 games played, 97 goals, 232 points. This is in the WHL.
The first player I listed is Sam Poulin. Poulin is still young, but, while once pegged as a middle 6 player, he's probably more now considered a bottom 6 player if he reaches his potential.
You just DO NOT KNOW how these kids will develop. They can tear up Juniors, but when they get to the pro game and you are going up against a team full of guys that are on your level, and guys that are 5-10 years older/stronger, things change. That's why a lot of people like drafting European players...they go and play in the SHL and Liiga, where they are 18 year olds competing against men. The ice surface adjustment can be an issue, but you know these guys are already competing against the more experienced players versus the CHL.
I like Yager. I really like his progress to date. But right now, until we see what he can do at WBS, he's a prospect that I don't have a lot of attachment to. He's not an Elite level player that we would build the next team around. He may be a good top 6 player. He may be an All-star type player. But we just don't know.
In the right trade, ie not a 23 year old 4th line plugger, I have no problem with Dubas moving Yager or Pickering.
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Totally....It's easy to see those 2 being potentially 2nd line F, 2nd pairing D to add onto what they should be picking up over the next 2-3 drafts/trades for futures. More likely is 1 (or both) gets dealt to find propel some magical cup run before Crosby retires/leaves.Daniel wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 10:27 amI think the trade Yager for someone a couple of years older discussion was more relevant 2-3 years ago than today (like Poulin for Crouse as an example). Right now Yager will just be hitting his prime when the team starts to transition to the next generation of Penguins hockey and I'd rather see a 22 year old Yager than a 26 year old other player. You might be able to build around Yager and Pickering post Crosby and both will just be entering their career at that point. They might not work out, but someone a few years older from another team might not work out either.FLPensFan wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 10:21 amI understand what you are saying, but you may end up disappointed. I don't think Yager or Pickering would go unless we are getting a top 6 level young player under 25 years old. I wouldn't give up either for Shane Pinto.Pens4Life wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:09 amExactly.. way to soon to trade them, as you mentioned we can gain a lot with them via salary cap issues as well! Not just getting younger and faster..Puck-Lurker wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 6:59 amAgreed. Unless guys like Yager, Pickering, Koivunen etc are a confirmed bust, no trading. They're young, have some potential and can improve. We have enough players that lack two or three of those.
But, you also need to understand...that's the way the business side works. If you can swap a prospect who has yet to even reach the pro level (AHL) for a young prospect who is a few years ahead, and already played meaningful NHL, most teams are going to make that deal unless they have an ungodly amount of proof that your prospect is "can't miss."
Want an example...Penguins had a player whose pre-draft year, draft year, and post-draft year totals was 168 games played, 77 goals, 198 points. This was in the QMJHL.
Yager's pre-draft year, draft year, and post-draft year (in progress) is 187 games played, 97 goals, 232 points. This is in the WHL.
The first player I listed is Sam Poulin. Poulin is still young, but, while once pegged as a middle 6 player, he's probably more now considered a bottom 6 player if he reaches his potential.
You just DO NOT KNOW how these kids will develop. They can tear up Juniors, but when they get to the pro game and you are going up against a team full of guys that are on your level, and guys that are 5-10 years older/stronger, things change. That's why a lot of people like drafting European players...they go and play in the SHL and Liiga, where they are 18 year olds competing against men. The ice surface adjustment can be an issue, but you know these guys are already competing against the more experienced players versus the CHL.
I like Yager. I really like his progress to date. But right now, until we see what he can do at WBS, he's a prospect that I don't have a lot of attachment to. He's not an Elite level player that we would build the next team around. He may be a good top 6 player. He may be an All-star type player. But we just don't know.
In the right trade, ie not a 23 year old 4th line plugger, I have no problem with Dubas moving Yager or Pickering.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
That is simply wordplay at this point. Really no different than the narrative that's been used the past 5+ years, regardless of who is in charge at the time. Doing things the exact same way and expecting different results is exactly how this team has been run for years.Three Stars wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2024 6:28 pmWelp, there goes that narrative.“I think we’ll get through the season and evaluate all of that. You’re talking about super competitive people, Sully and myself. If we sit here on April 17 and we haven’t advantage of the opportunity that lies ahead of us over the window of the next 21 days or three weeks, the players and Sully are too intelligent to think that we can do the same thing again next year in the exact same way can get a different result.”
The narrative remains until there are actual *actions* to change the narrative, not words.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
Ned first goalie off. Looks to be getting the start. That's 3 in a row for him over Jarsss.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
Carter and Harkins should not play tonight...heard Carter was a GTD and Harkins was on the ice. Big mistake not to run with the lineup from Tuesday.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
Pretty interesting/disturbing breakdown of Jarry's annual second-half of the season slumps at Pensburgh: https://www.pensburgh.com/2024/3/28/241 ... half-trend
It is tempting to see if there's a trade market for Jarry, try to re-sign Nedjelkovic, and roll with him and Blomqvist next year.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
I would move Jarry without even blinking an eye to be honest. Goalies are the one position that you can figure out on a year to year basis if needed. I would be fine going with Ned and bringing in MAF for his swan song for 1 year and let Blomqvist have 1 more year as a #1 in WBS.largegarlic wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 1:10 pmPretty interesting/disturbing breakdown of Jarry's annual second-half of the season slumps at Pensburgh: https://www.pensburgh.com/2024/3/28/241 ... half-trend
It is tempting to see if there's a trade market for Jarry, try to re-sign Nedjelkovic, and roll with him and Blomqvist next year.
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100 percent. I believe the impact of one goalie versus another with regards to price differences is grossly overstated in most cases. A guy like Vas, Bob, etc making 10 million is not in my opinion statistically worth the difference of 8m or so against a guy like Ned etc.
I believe you can create a better roster, better defense, better offense, and more than compensate for any minor reduction statistically between a 2m and a 10m goalie. It's basically Moneyball. Let's say a 10m goalie stops .925 of the 2000 shots he sees a year and a 2m stops .905 of them (and I think I'm being generous in the numbers)... I would rather spend 8m on either 40+more goals on offense or a better defense that reduces those shots and that shot quality to even up the outcomes. Goalies are grossly over vauled in my opinion except for a few super rare instances.
The greatest goalies go cold and can go cold at the wrong time and vice versa for average goalies... see Matt Murray, Patrick Lalime, etc etc. The difference on your forward or defense of an extra 8m player is usually a huge difference statistically, but the goalie difference is not. Cycle through new young guys, decent journeyman and keep moving any talent that another team is dumb enough to over pay for. If someone wanted Jarry for a first +? I couldn't pack his bags fast enough. For a 2nd +? The right deal and he's gone for me. When a goalie is **** and loses a game with a 6GAA and a .750sp... it isn't any more of a loss than the star who loses with a 2gaa and a .950. Honestly, pretty much no NHL caliber goaltender is going to be a sub .900, 3+GAA on a decent team and the price of "top tier" goalie talent just isn't supported by the impact I believe.
I believe you can create a better roster, better defense, better offense, and more than compensate for any minor reduction statistically between a 2m and a 10m goalie. It's basically Moneyball. Let's say a 10m goalie stops .925 of the 2000 shots he sees a year and a 2m stops .905 of them (and I think I'm being generous in the numbers)... I would rather spend 8m on either 40+more goals on offense or a better defense that reduces those shots and that shot quality to even up the outcomes. Goalies are grossly over vauled in my opinion except for a few super rare instances.
The greatest goalies go cold and can go cold at the wrong time and vice versa for average goalies... see Matt Murray, Patrick Lalime, etc etc. The difference on your forward or defense of an extra 8m player is usually a huge difference statistically, but the goalie difference is not. Cycle through new young guys, decent journeyman and keep moving any talent that another team is dumb enough to over pay for. If someone wanted Jarry for a first +? I couldn't pack his bags fast enough. For a 2nd +? The right deal and he's gone for me. When a goalie is **** and loses a game with a 6GAA and a .750sp... it isn't any more of a loss than the star who loses with a 2gaa and a .950. Honestly, pretty much no NHL caliber goaltender is going to be a sub .900, 3+GAA on a decent team and the price of "top tier" goalie talent just isn't supported by the impact I believe.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
I'd not be against that. If there's a return to be had for Jarry, go for it. Known quantity and the money could be used elsewhereKG wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 1:17 pmI would move Jarry without even blinking an eye to be honest. Goalies are the one position that you can figure out on a year to year basis if needed. I would be fine going with Ned and bringing in MAF for his swan song for 1 year and let Blomqvist have 1 more year as a #1 in WBS.largegarlic wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 1:10 pmPretty interesting/disturbing breakdown of Jarry's annual second-half of the season slumps at Pensburgh: https://www.pensburgh.com/2024/3/28/241 ... half-trend
It is tempting to see if there's a trade market for Jarry, try to re-sign Nedjelkovic, and roll with him and Blomqvist next year.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
Tristan Broz, Pens 2nd round pick, scored the OT winning goal today for Denver against UMass in the NCAA tournament. We could use some more clutch scorers.
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Re: Random Penguins Fodder
Gruden sent back down….
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DK speculating that Jarry may have barked at a young teammate during the Dallas game which is part of the reason why Ned has started 3 straight.
Hopefully Ned gets the start again tomorrow.
DK said the Pens are better without Jarry and they should trade him. He rarely speaks out like that about players. Something must have happened with Jarry.
Hopefully Ned gets the start again tomorrow.
DK said the Pens are better without Jarry and they should trade him. He rarely speaks out like that about players. Something must have happened with Jarry.
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If true wouldn’t Sullivan have played him and celebrated his actions……..KG wrote: ↑Fri Mar 29, 2024 11:40 am DK speculating that Jarry may have barked at a young teammate during the Dallas game which is part of the reason why Ned has started 3 straight.
Hopefully Ned gets the start again tomorrow.
DK said the Pens are better without Jarry and they should trade him. He rarely speaks out like that about players. Something must have happened with Jarry.
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