While your match is correct, it's only relevant if we were at the beginning of last game thinking, "what are the odds rel is red this game and the next one?" since that game is over, it's moot.
Sure, flipping heads twice in a row is a 25 percent chance, but once you do it the first time, it's 50 percent you're gonna do it again. Wait, am I really explaining this?
good explaination...and if you turely believe what you said here:
ulf wrote:
Always intrigues me when people go against the random vote, there's really nothing to go on yet. Also the stats are irrelevant to this single game.
then you should be strongly considering columbia at this point...or voting on rel yourself.
The point is is that we have a nearly 97% chance of killing a villager, if we voter out rel.
Ultimately first day kills don't really matter, but let's not pretend that it's a good choice....at all.
The point is is that we have a nearly 97% chance of killing a villager, if we voter out rel.
Ultimately first day kills don't really matter, but let's not pretend that it's a good choice....at all.
The point is is that we have a nearly 97% chance of killing a villager, if we voter out rel.
Ultimately first day kills don't really matter, but let's not pretend that it's a good choice....at all.
Playing this game in maxthon theme is yard. yellow on white doesn't mix. I dont think rel should go this early.
bomb dodint
I should try a warz game in the normal theme. Wonder how different it would be? (In Maxthon, have to highlight the yellow text with mouse to see who the vote was on)
Hmm. I don't like voting the noob out on day one again... People can't get experience if they don't play. I also don't like the idea losing rel this early.
Warz is a cold mistress I'm afraid. Gotta go with bomb dodint. Color please.
Like a vote for rel is a 97% chance of killing a non-red based on rel having a role in the last game? You mean you don't find that terribly convincing?
Like a vote for rel is a 97% chance of killing a non-red based on rel having a role in the last game? You mean you don't find that terribly convincing?
Even though I feel this is sarcasm, I don't. I do, however, think freaking out with there are 4 votes on you, more convincing.
my 1052 posts (now 1053) have pretty much exclusively been in warz games. in all those games i've never seen anyone use this line of reasoning, and columbia has been in a lot of them. I'm fairly certain he's applying the 'math' incorrectly and am also suspicious of why he would lobby sooo hard with this new approach all of the sudden....and on day 1 no less.