dark_forces wrote: Fri Jan 24, 2025 5:40 pm
Daniel wrote: Fri Jan 24, 2025 5:25 pm
EndO FanEra wrote: Fri Jan 24, 2025 4:27 pm
Daniel wrote: Fri Jan 24, 2025 2:57 pm
EndO FanEra wrote: Fri Jan 24, 2025 1:03 pm
I noticed something interesting recently and it got me thinking about a fantasyland trade offer for Vancouver.
Rakell is listed as a C/W on multiple sites. As far as I can recall, he's played only W for the Pens. I don't know how well he plays at C, but with his value being higher than ever, is there any chance that Vancouver would consider something like this:
To Van: Pettersson, Rakell (with $1M-$2M retained), 2nd, picks/prospects to even things out
To Pit: E. Petterson, picks/prospects to even things out
The retention on Rakell sucks for us, because it's for the next 3 years on top of this one. I wanted to try to keep our first though, so I dropped that to a 2nd and added the retention. If Rakell is capable as a 2C, Miller takes 1C and Rakell becomes a $3M-$4M 2C. If not, he can become their Boeser replacement at half the price if they trade him or let him walk.
From what it sounds though, Miller is the one getting moved and Pettersson is not going anywhere. On top of that, it's still probably not enough coming from the Pens side. E. Pettersson would be a nice 2C behind Sid for now and Geno can slide to W for the rest of the season. Eventually Pettersson can take over as 1C when Sid starts to tail off a bit (more).
I think that's too much to give up, unless one of the picks is a 2nd swap and the prospects are blue chip.
Number one, that contract is way too high and way too long and the only good thing about it is no trade protection. While he's a great player, he'll be over 30 before the Penguins are ready to compete again. I think they need to get even younger than his 26 so they might be in their prime when the Pens are ready to compete.
Now if the Penguins got rid of Sullivan and some of the dead weight and you think this puts us over the top, that's an entirely different discussion. I think the Pens can compete in 2-3 years but only with Sullivan gone and good moves prior to a huge move like this.
Out of curiosity, is it just that you don't want the Pens to part with that much for him, or that his value is not on par with a package like that?
I was mostly basing that off of his age, draft pedigree, C position, and the little I've seen him play. I assumed it would take a 1st, top 9 replacement/lesser C, pretty decent prospect/player. and maybe some things to even out the cap.
You are right though, that is a pretty big contract. With the cap going up though, I don't think it will be a problem. Especially if we can rid ourselves of the Karlsson contract at some point.
I think any move anyone of us talk about assumes the caveat of Sullivan being gone. Player moves are not going to change the trajectory of this team. We may get a little better or a little worse, but it's going to be more of the same until we move on.
I think that trade is right on par with what he should get. The issue isn't the trade it's that Pettesson won't be in his prime when the Penguins are ready to compete again. I think Pettersson (D), Rakell, 2nd should be at least 4 assets under the age of 25. Right now, just get quantity and if at the end of the they get a bunch of 2nd/3rd line guys, maybe someone overachieves to the 1st line (ie Jake/Rust) then they're 1 top 5 pick away from contention.
An Elias Pettersson trade implies the Penguins have most of the other pieces in place and he might jump start them into a 1st round exit and lower draft pick. I'd say right now, the Penguins have about about 10 players who could help in a rebuild (McGroarty, Howe, Ponomarev, Koivunen, Broz, Pickering, Brunicke, Belliveau, Pieniniemi, Blomqvist, Murashov). Obviously all won't make it, which makes it even worse of a list.
I agree 100%. If we can get someone like Dylan Cozens for less, and is more in line with the other young players we have, why overpay and give up all those assets for E. Pettersson?
I'm down for either of those guys as an option.
I don't know how accurate either of our proposals are for E. Pettersson and Cozens, but they're not all that far apart value wise.
To Van: M. Pettersson, Rakell (with $1M-$2M retained), 2nd, picks/prospects to even things out
To Pit: E. Petterson, picks/prospects to even things out
To Buf: Rickard Rakell, Noel Acciari (cap purposes), Anthony Beauvillier (cap purposes), Ville Koivunen, 2026 2nd (STL)
To Pit: Dylan Cozens and Jason Zucker (50% retained)
Both have Rakell & a 2nd going out. Difference is Rakell's retention and Pettersson vs Acciari, Beauvillier, & Koivunen. I would say that Pettersson and retention is the higher value than those 3, but I do think that Beau and Koivunen have some/decent value.
Coming back with Cozens is Zucker. To me, Zucker may have value to a playoff team, but not with the Pens. Forget the cap hit and his age, it's just adding another vet to block an opportunity for the youth. So, if we're taking Zucker back, to me, it's because we have to, not because we want to. I don't know it if evens out the difference in Petterson going out, but those two packages aren't all that far apart in my eyes.
Now, Cozens is 3 years younger and $4.5M cheaper, so there is definitely value in that. I haven't seen enough of either of them to know how they stack up taking things like salary, age, team, etc. into consideration.
So, is the difference in performance between Cozens & Pettersson equivalent to the difference in age/salary? Your guess is probably better than mine.
I just hope that Dubas is looking into some impact players like that, that can help take some of the pressure off of Sid & Geno going forward. I'm down for some more Tomasino & Lizotte types, but I think we need at least one guy that moves the needle on a regular basis.