Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

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FLPensFan
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by FLPensFan »

Theoldpenguin wrote: Fri Apr 18, 2025 1:20 pm
Nice post, this is the stuff I love.

So next year, let's hope for an 85 point season to pass Marcel and take #6... but hope for more to whittle away at that all time #2.

Next season is going to be a fun one to root for on the way up the list. Hopefully these new young guys will help Sid have another offensively productive year.

The big question, if things go well the next 2 years of the final contract term, what % do you give Sid signing on for that extra year to reach #2?
FLPensFan wrote: Fri Apr 18, 2025 11:13 am
Stillerz Bar wrote: Fri Apr 18, 2025 5:52 am
Truly amazing!! With 91 points this year, at 37 he is now tied for 2nd oldest to score 90 points with Gretzky, Mario, Sakic & Johnny Bucyk trailing only Gordie Howe who did it at 40 (which is just crazy). Sid & Gretzky are the only ones to do it twice at 36 or older.

Honestly, by mid February, the only reason I was watching was to see Sid get his 20th point per game season and see how high he can climb on the all-time list. He's currently at 9th with 1687. Here's how many points he needs to pass each of the players in front of him:

8 Mario Lemieux at 1,723 - 37 more points to pass
7 Steve Yzerman at 1,755 - 69 more points to pass
6 Marcel Dionne at 1,771 -85 more points to pass
5 Ron Francis at 1,798 - 112 more points to pass
4 Gordie Howe at 1,850 - 164 more points to pass
3 Mark Messier at 1,887 - 201 more points to pass
2 Jaromir Jagr at 1,921 - 235 more points to pass
1 Wayne Gretzky at 2,857 - 1,171 more points to pass

Mario is obviously well within reach and if he plays anything like he did this year, he could pass Yzerman & maybe even Dionne next season. Beyond that, it all depends on how high of a level he can continue at as he ages.

Obviously, Gretzky’s number is our of reach, but as Theoldpenguin said, all of the rest are potentially passable if he has 3-4 more good season. If he gets just 69 more points, he will be the leader in points who played with a single team as he, Mario & Yzerman are the only ones in the tops 10 who didn’t play for multiple teams (though Howe got 1809 of his with the Redwings but then added 421 more with Hartford).

Between Mario & Sid, we have been so fortunate to have had out team led for the last 40 years by these two highly skilled players that are also good human beings.
I was looking at his numbers a little closer this morning. His highest points per game seasons were actually his post concussion years when he played half a season if that, 10-11 season he was 1.68 pts/gm in 41 games, 11-12 he was 1.61 pts/gm in 22 games, and in 12-13 he was at 1.56 pts/gm in 36 games. Taking the average points per game of those 3 seasons (1.61) and then multiplying by 225 (75 games for 3 seasons), you get 364 points. Without injury, in his prime years, Crosby was playing at a 364 point pace...but he only earned 159 points in 99 games.

So in those seasons, he earned only 44% of his projected point total playing in 44% of the games. You add in those projected points, that would add another 205 points to his total. He'd be a little over 30 points behind Jagr right now.

Sid will need to play roughly 75 games a year, remain at a point per game pace, and add at least 1 more year to his contract to realistically catch Jagr. If he averages 75 games played and 1 point per game over the last 2 years of his contract, he'll be a few points behind Howe in 5th place.

If I were to place a bet, I would put money down on him passing Howe and moving into 4th place. He needs an extra year added to his contract to have a real shot at Messier and Jagr.
I think that really depends on Sid's mindset. If he averages a point per game the last 2 years of his contract....do you go out on top, quitting while you were still playing at a high level, or do you keep pushing it until you suddenly realize your skills are declining and you shouldn't be playing anymore.

I think only Sid knows how to answer that as he gets closer to the end of his deal.
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by BigMcK »

Crosby has to know another Stanley Cup is out of reach. His mindset should be to bolster personal records and awards.

The next competition that he wants to play in, I wish him a team victory.

Don't know whether he has children, but if so, they should enjoy how incredible their father is playing hockey.
FLPensFan
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by FLPensFan »

BigMcK wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:30 am
Crosby has to know another Stanley Cup is out of reach. His mindset should be to bolster personal records and awards.

The next competition that he wants to play in, I wish him a team victory.

Don't know whether he has children, but if so, they should enjoy how incredible their father is playing hockey.
No children. He's not married yet. As far as I recall, he's been dating the same girl for about 15 years. Don't recall her name.
BigMcK
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by BigMcK »

FLPensFan wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:52 am
BigMcK wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:30 am
Crosby has to know another Stanley Cup is out of reach. His mindset should be to bolster personal records and awards.

The next competition that he wants to play in, I wish him a team victory.

Don't know whether he has children, but if so, they should enjoy how incredible their father is playing hockey.
No children. He's not married yet. As far as I recall, he's been dating the same girl for about 15 years. Don't recall her name.
He must not have a public relations person on staff, because his social profile (good for him to retain his personal life away from professional life), is private.

From what is on social, his girlfriend is gorgeous.

Maybe he plays for himself, because age is a MF'er.
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by Puck-Lurker »

FLPensFan wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:52 am
BigMcK wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:30 am
Crosby has to know another Stanley Cup is out of reach. His mindset should be to bolster personal records and awards.

The next competition that he wants to play in, I wish him a team victory.

Don't know whether he has children, but if so, they should enjoy how incredible their father is playing hockey.
No children. He's not married yet. As far as I recall, he's been dating the same girl for about 15 years. Don't recall her name.
Kathy something.

I think Sid's just really protective of his private life. And good on him. I wouldn't read into it.

In a way, he's the same with the team. He's almost never talks out of turn, you won't get more than a smallest whiff of what's going on when he has talks with the team, or what goes on behind the scenes. When he was in contract talks, you would hear absolutely nothing about it from Sid. It's the way he's built and I respect it; a lot.
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by Pitts »

Puck-Lurker wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 7:01 am
FLPensFan wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:52 am
BigMcK wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:30 am
Crosby has to know another Stanley Cup is out of reach. His mindset should be to bolster personal records and awards.

The next competition that he wants to play in, I wish him a team victory.

Don't know whether he has children, but if so, they should enjoy how incredible their father is playing hockey.
No children. He's not married yet. As far as I recall, he's been dating the same girl for about 15 years. Don't recall her name.
Kathy something.

I think Sid's just really protective of his private life. And good on him. I wouldn't read into it.

In a way, he's the same with the team. He's almost never talks out of turn, you won't get more than a smallest whiff of what's going on when he has talks with the team, or what goes on behind the scenes. When he was in contract talks, you would hear absolutely nothing about it from Sid. It's the way he's built and I respect it; a lot.
The timing of this post is something - I literally just saw a facebook meme Thursday about them! She is a model, I believe from New Jersey: https://www.clickmodelnyc.com/women/dir ... y-leutner/

Both of them were born in 1987.
FLPensFan
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by FLPensFan »

Pitts wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 11:24 am
Puck-Lurker wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 7:01 am
FLPensFan wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:52 am
BigMcK wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:30 am
Crosby has to know another Stanley Cup is out of reach. His mindset should be to bolster personal records and awards.

The next competition that he wants to play in, I wish him a team victory.

Don't know whether he has children, but if so, they should enjoy how incredible their father is playing hockey.
No children. He's not married yet. As far as I recall, he's been dating the same girl for about 15 years. Don't recall her name.
Kathy something.

I think Sid's just really protective of his private life. And good on him. I wouldn't read into it.

In a way, he's the same with the team. He's almost never talks out of turn, you won't get more than a smallest whiff of what's going on when he has talks with the team, or what goes on behind the scenes. When he was in contract talks, you would hear absolutely nothing about it from Sid. It's the way he's built and I respect it; a lot.
The timing of this post is something - I literally just saw a facebook meme Thursday about them! She is a model, I believe from New Jersey: https://www.clickmodelnyc.com/women/dir ... y-leutner/

Both of them were born in 1987.
Sid at a speed dating event:
Sid: What year were you born?
Woman1: 1988
Sid: Pass. Next
Woman2: 1986
Sid: Pass. Next
Woman3: 1987
Sid: Hi I'm Sid. Nice to meet you.
Daniel
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by Daniel »

FLPensFan wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 11:45 am
Pitts wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 11:24 am
Puck-Lurker wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 7:01 am
FLPensFan wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:52 am
BigMcK wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 2:30 am
Crosby has to know another Stanley Cup is out of reach. His mindset should be to bolster personal records and awards.

The next competition that he wants to play in, I wish him a team victory.

Don't know whether he has children, but if so, they should enjoy how incredible their father is playing hockey.
No children. He's not married yet. As far as I recall, he's been dating the same girl for about 15 years. Don't recall her name.
Kathy something.

I think Sid's just really protective of his private life. And good on him. I wouldn't read into it.

In a way, he's the same with the team. He's almost never talks out of turn, you won't get more than a smallest whiff of what's going on when he has talks with the team, or what goes on behind the scenes. When he was in contract talks, you would hear absolutely nothing about it from Sid. It's the way he's built and I respect it; a lot.
The timing of this post is something - I literally just saw a facebook meme Thursday about them! She is a model, I believe from New Jersey: https://www.clickmodelnyc.com/women/dir ... y-leutner/

Both of them were born in 1987.
Sid at a speed dating event:
Sid: What year were you born?
Woman1: 1988
Sid: Pass. Next
Woman2: 1986
Sid: Pass. Next
Woman3: 1987
Sid: Hi I'm Sid. Nice to meet you.
Headline from random January game, 2029.......

SIDNEY CROSBY GETS POINT #1987

Later that evening......

SIDNEY CROSBY RETIRES AS THE 2ND LEADING SCORER IN NHL HISTORY
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Re: Crosby Total Points Dream Scenario

Post by SubtropicalPenguin »

If Sid stays healthy, I'm sure he can remain productive through age 40. The only real question for me is what does Sid want to do? If he has a strong desire to catch Jagr, I'm sure he will. His work ethic and vision are so good that I don't expect a precipitous drop in his numbers. Obviously Father Time is undefeated, but I would bet heavily on him re-signing for the extra year that would be needed to have a chance to catch Jagr for # 2 on the scoring list. I also have a hunch he could be interested in even returning for an age 41 season if he thinks 2000 points is reachable.

For example, if he can hold on to a point per game average through his age 40 season, and if he can play 82 games a season, that would get him to 1933 points. If his production levels are still solid, I would think 67 points in an age 41 season would not be beyond the realm of possibility. In fact, in a completely random alignment of stats, Jagr himself just so-happened to score exactly 67 points in 82 games in the NHL in his age 41 season.